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KURA SUSHI USA, INC. (KRUS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2024 delivered $66.0M revenue (+20% YoY) with comps at -3.1% as consumer softness moderated versus prior expectations (management had guided to negative high-single-digit comps) and restaurant-level operating margin held above 20% .
- GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.46) vs $0.25 last year, driven by a $4.7M litigation expense and a $1.6M impairment (Aventura, FL); adjusted EPS was $0.09, adjusted EBITDA $5.5M, and cash was $51.0M with no debt .
- FY2025 initial guidance: revenue $275–$279M, 14 new restaurants (~>20% unit growth), G&A ~13.5% of sales, and ~$2.5M net capex per unit—management positioning guidance conservatively despite a stronger start to FY2025 .
- Operational streamlining and technology initiatives (reservation/self-seating system, smartphone ordering) are expected to lower labor intensity; reservation system could add up to ~50 bps margin benefit later in the year .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Maintained best-in-class restaurant-level operating margin above 20% in Q4 despite sales deleverage; restaurant-level operating profit was $13.8M (20.9% of sales) .
- Pacific Northwest expansion exceeded expectations (Beaverton, OR and Tacoma, WA strong openings); Bellevue remains the top performer, reinforcing portability and market white space .
- Cost of goods sold improved 100 bps YoY to 28.5% via quality improvements and supply chain initiatives, while pricing held modestly (~4% in Q4) .
Management quotes:
- “The sales pressures beginning in April improved significantly over the course of the quarter… fourth quarter comps of negative 3.1% as compared to… negative high single-digit comps.”
- “We completed the full rollout of our back-of-house streamlining… delivering expected improvements to labor cost.”
- “Beaverton… and Tacoma… have exceeded our already high expectations.”
What Went Wrong
- GAAP profitability impacted by non-recurring items: $4.7M litigation expense and $1.6M impairment; operating loss $(5.8)M vs $2.2M last year .
- Comps were negative (-3.1%), with traffic down 2.4% and regional weakness in Southwest (-8.9% comps), partly due to cannibalization from infills and macro factors .
- Other costs rose to 14.7% of sales (utilities, delivery fees, software, operating supplies), pressuring margins despite COGS gains .
Financial Results
KPIs
Notes:
- Q4 GAAP EPS includes $4.7M litigation and $1.6M impairment; adjusted metrics exclude these items per reconciliation .
- Regional Q4 comps: West Coast +3.9%, Southwest -8.9% .
Segment breakdown: Not applicable (single restaurant concept) .
Guidance Changes
FY2025 Initial Guidance (issued with Q4 FY2024)
FY2024 Guidance Timeline (context)
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic priorities: Maintain >20% unit growth, sustain restaurant-level margin >20%, leverage G&A, drive operational excellence despite macro volatility .
- “Our new fiscal year is off to a strong start… Q1 is definitely outperforming Q4… prudent not to be overly aggressive with our revenue guidance at the beginning of the year.”
- Labor: “Operational streamlining are structural… increase in sales would not require an increase in labor… we expect labor as a percentage of sales to be better than fiscal ’24.”
- Marketing: “We are going to be more discerning with our IP collaborations… prioritizing quality and broad-based appeal… more cost efficient than rolling IP collaborations.”
- Development: “We currently have 6 units under construction… remaining 9 openings will be backloaded for Q3 and Q4… Pacific Northwest exceeded expectations.”
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance conservatism: FY2025 revenue guide reflects prudence; management prefers avoiding mid-year downward revisions despite better Q1 trends (early FY2025) .
- Pricing: ~4% price in Q4; considering taking price before year-end to capture December holiday demand; typical cadence previously January/July .
- Labor & tech: Streamlining is structural; reservation/self-seating system targeting up to ~50 bps margin benefit; FY2025 labor % expected lower YoY .
- Commodities: Assuming low single-digit commodity inflation; diversified basket and dual broad-liners provide redundancy .
- Cannibalization: Acknowledged impact from infills; pipeline adjusted to prune LOIs to minimize cannibalization; expect more new-market mix from FY2026 onwards .
- DoorDash: Off-premise mix 3.2%, marketplace pricing equals in-store; DashPass enhances consumer value .
- Litigation: ~$4.7M wage/hour-related expense; limited detail due to ongoing matters .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 FY2024 were unavailable due to access limits; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses vs Wall Street consensus for this quarter at this time. Values would ordinarily be retrieved from S&P Global; unavailable in this session.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Structural cost actions and maturing tech stack should support sustained >20% restaurant-level margins even as comps normalize, with potential incremental ~50 bps benefit from reservation/self-seating later in FY2025 .
- Conservative FY2025 guide (sales $275–$279M) creates room for upward revisions if macro and traffic continue to improve; watch cadence of price actions into year-end and loyalty-driven traffic initiatives .
- Portfolio management is shifting toward fewer, higher-ROI collaborations and more food-focused marketing—expect lower “other costs” intensity and cleaner flow-through when IP cadence moderates .
- Regional divergence persists (West outperforming; Southwest pressured by infills); near-term cannibalization manageable with pipeline pruning and more new-market mix from FY2026 .
- Off-premise is small but growing (3.2% mix), with unit economics supported by favorable DoorDash terms and in-restaurant price parity—margin neutral to accretive .
- Litigation/impairment were notable Q4 GAAP headwinds; adjusted metrics and cash position remain solid to fund >20% unit growth (cash ~$51M; no debt) .
Sources: Q4 FY2024 8-K and press release with reconciliations ; Q4 FY2024 earnings call transcript ; Prior quarters’ calls and releases .